2009 is expected to be a year of consolidation for Indian retail sector. As a result of adoption of best practices and restructuring of business models by the retailers, organized retail is expected to realign itself to the market conditions and create new areas of growth in 2009. Given the market malady being faced by developers and retailers alike, it is possible that partnership models of growth through mechanisms such as revenue sharing would become more prominent.
More deals are going to get renegotiated as priced drop in over-priced locations. The process of rationalization should reach its peak by March, 2009. In 2009, it is anticipated that the supply pipeline may witness further stalling Most players’ expansion plans for 2009 will slow down considerably. However, Projects that are planned well (incorporating approaches like proper zoning, optimal tenant mix strategies), implemented with high quality standards and incorporating appropriate mall management practices are anticipated to be successful. In 2009, premier brands will look at Tier II cities, but certainly not Tier III. Luxury brands will stick to metros.
Pan India mall developers will look at more practical rentals in 2009.High streets may see consolidation with a high possibility of a revenue-sharing model in terms of the overall cost-to-retailer on many high streets. For 2009, Jones Lang LaSalle Meghraj has seen a decisive upscale in transactions in the hypermarket category. However, the demand is clearly higher for stand-alone high street locations rather than mall-based locations.
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